Director, Forecasting

BS degree required, preferably in a Business or STEM (science, technology, engineering, or mathematics) subject area. Advanced degree such as MBA or Masters/PhD in a STEM area preferred. 8+ years of relevant experience in a forecasting function in a pharmaceutical/biotech company or consulting firm. Experience in regular communication with—and formal presentation to—senior leaders. Experience in the Pharmaceutical/Biotech/Life Sciences field(s) required. A high degree of understanding of the pharmaceutical supply chain, including manufacturers, wholesalers, chains, and payers. Experience forecasting co-promoted brands—and aligning assumptions within and across companies—is preferred. Experience with pharmaceutical data sources, such as IQVIA (NSP, NPA, Xponent, LAAD), Symphony, Komodo, and/or Veeva Compass. Experience with epidemiology data sources. Expertise in market research is a plus. Experience working with all levels of management and consulting with key business stakeholders. Strong team player that has a customer service approach and is solution-oriented. Strong work ethic to handle ad hoc requests to deliver accurate and meaningful results on a tight deadline. Process high resilience and agility as well as a keen analytical mindset and curiosity. Attention to detail and the ability to work individually, within a multi-disciplinary team, as well as with external partners and vendors. Excellent written and verbal (including listening) communication skills, problem-solving/resolution skills, and customer focus. Experience with forecasting software (Forecast Pro, Crystal Ball, @Risk, FlexiCast) a plus. Demonstrated ability to lead strategically, drive performance, build alignment, inform, and negotiate. Demonstrated initiative, creativity, and ability to work in complex, rapidly changing & ambiguous environments. Demonstrated ability to influence stakeholders; Proven ability to collaborate cross-functionally. Strong Excel and PowerPoint skills are required and are able to design the presentation deck to present complexity in a succinct and meaningful way.

Lead the forecasting process and capabilities for the Region North American (NA) business across pre-launch and in-line products in the inflammation franchise. Ownership of short-term and long-term forecasts for commercialized and pipe-line products. Work closely with internal stakeholders (Finance, Marketing, Sales, Sales Operations) to determine planning and product valuations. Deliver objective forecasts for Region NA brands with profiling of opportunities/risks and proactive identification of strategies for how to manage them. Collaborate across Region NA Commercial teams as well as the Global Forecasting and Analytics teams and co-promote partners to develop key assumptions and scenario planning. Manage fact-based approaches and processes as inputs to forecasting, such as epidemiology, brand share estimation, market access, and competitive impacts. Support forecasting input needs for Field Incentive Compensation planning. Track forecast accuracy and brand performance against key performance indicators (KPIs). Define and implement robust forecasting standards and processes aligned with the business planning process. Provide ad hoc analysis to Marketing and Senior Management as requested. Have the ability to lead and influence stakeholders based on objective evidence, including epidemiological data, claims data, drug demand audit data, and other sources. Perform analog analysis (identification, assessment and application) to inform and/or justify the reasonableness of forecasts. Ensuring competitive market events are formally and proactively identified, tracked, and assessed on a timely basis. Keep abreast of news that could impact forecast drivers e.g. industry and competitive intelligence. Be an integral part of the business planning process with stakeholders. Participate as a subject matter expert (SME) for Forecasting by challenging assumptions and identifying key risks and opportunities. Evaluate and recommend appropriate sources for forecast model inputs, including epidemiology sources, prescription and prescriber databases, primary and secondary research, and scientific literature. Contribute to the annual strategic plan for each franchise. Guide the design of market research studies to validate forecast assumptions and patient populations. Collaborate with HEOR and Commercial Analytics to determine secondary data needs to inform internal company guidance. Competent in data analytics--including summarizing data from a data warehouse–relevant to the forecast. Ensure forecasts address the impact of critical events, are logically designed and well documented in the forecast model, and represent consensus decision-making among key stakeholders. Provide strategic commercial advice and counsel as related to overall scope.